It’s all about gaining a Week 1 Advantage in fantasy football, and for many, that starts with nailing your running back selections. As the 2025 NFL season looms, fantasy managers are poring over rosters, seeking an edge. With key players like James Conner, Tony Pollard, Chuba Hubbard, and Javonte Williams in the spotlight, making the right start/sit decisions is crucial. Expert analysis, released around September 5, 2025, according to Fantasy Football Insider Staff, aims to guide these choices, maximizing potential points and avoiding early-season pitfalls. The goal? Dominate Week 1 and set the stage for a successful fantasy campaign.
The Start/Sit Dilemma: Running Backs in Focus
Week 1 in fantasy football is notoriously unpredictable. Limited regular-season data makes informed decisions challenging. That’s where expert “Start/Sit” recommendations become invaluable, offering insights into player health, team dynamics, and opponent matchups. Fantasy Football Insider Staff emphasizes that these recommendations provide a strategic layer beyond draft-day choices, helping managers navigate the uncertainties of the early NFL season.
Matchup Analysis: A Critical Factor
One of the primary drivers behind start/sit decisions is the matchup. Analysts dissect the opposing defense’s historical performance against the run and their current personnel. A favorable matchup can significantly boost a running back’s fantasy potential, while a tough one can lead to disappointment. As Fantasy Football Insider Staff reported on September 5, 2025, James Conner of the Arizona Cardinals is considered a strong “Start” against a New Orleans Saints defense that struggled against the run last season and is still finding its footing. Similarly, Chuba Hubbard of the Carolina Panthers faces a favorable matchup against the Jacksonville Jaguars, potentially making him a “must-start” for many fantasy teams.
Volume and Role: Projecting Touches
Projecting a player’s expected touches (carries and targets) is another crucial element. Even a talented running back can struggle if he doesn’t get enough opportunities. According to Fantasy Football Insider Staff, Tony Pollard, despite a potentially tough matchup against the Denver Broncos, is considered a viable “Start” due to the expected volume he will receive with Tyjae Spears sidelined. This highlights the importance of considering a player’s role within their team’s offensive scheme.
The Impact of Injuries
Injury reports can drastically alter a running back’s value. Injuries to teammates can create opportunities for others, while a player’s own injury can limit their effectiveness or keep them off the field entirely. Staying informed about the latest injury updates is paramount when making start/sit decisions.
Game Script Considerations
Anticipating how the game might unfold is another important factor. If a team is expected to play from behind, they may pass more frequently, limiting the number of rushing attempts for their running backs. Conversely, if a team is expected to have a comfortable lead, they may rely more on the run to control the clock. This understanding of potential game scripts can help fantasy managers make more informed decisions.
Offensive Line Performance
A strong offensive line can make a significant difference in a running back’s production. A dominant line can create running lanes and provide the back with opportunities to gain yards. Conversely, a weak line can make it difficult for even the most talented running back to succeed. Fantasy Football Insider Staff notes that Javonte Williams of the Dallas Cowboys is a common “Sit” candidate due to a brutal matchup against a stout Philadelphia Eagles run defense and concerns about his efficiency behind a potentially declining offensive line.
Rookie Watch: Proceed with Caution
Rookie running backs often generate a lot of buzz during the preseason. While some rookies may step into prominent roles immediately, others may take time to develop. Fantasy managers should approach rookie running backs with a degree of caution, especially in Week 1. According to Fantasy Football Insider Staff, rookie running backs like Ashton Jeanty are being closely watched for their potential high-volume roles, but with a degree of caution due to it being their first NFL game.
Specific Running Back Start/Sit Recommendations
Start ‘Em: Capitalizing on Favorable Matchups
Several running backs stand out as strong “Start” candidates based on their Week 1 matchups and projected workloads. James Conner, facing the Saints’ defense, is a prime example. Chuba Hubbard, against the Jaguars, also presents a favorable opportunity. Tony Pollard, despite a tough opponent, should see enough volume to warrant a starting spot, according to Fantasy Football Insider Staff’s analysis. These backs offer the potential for significant fantasy production in Week 1.
Sit ‘Em: Avoiding Potential Busts
On the other hand, some running backs should be approached with caution in Week 1. Javonte Williams, facing the Eagles’ formidable run defense, is a risky play. Concerns about his offensive line further diminish his appeal. Fantasy managers should consider alternative options with more favorable matchups or clearer paths to volume. Starting the wrong running back can quickly put you behind in your weekly matchup.
Dominate Week 1: The Final Word
The start/sit decisions you make for your running backs in Week 1 can have a significant impact on your fantasy season. By carefully analyzing matchups, projecting workloads, and staying informed about injuries, you can increase your chances of success. Expert recommendations, like those from Fantasy Football Insider Staff, provide valuable insights to help you navigate the uncertainties of the early NFL season and position yourself to dominate Week 1. Remember to consider all available information and make informed decisions based on your own risk tolerance and league settings. Good luck!
